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The Iranian Dilemma Printable Version PRINTABLE VERSION
by (no name), May 1, 2007
Peace & Conflict   Opinions

  


Having considered the military option and regime change option in Iran, finally, let us consider the option of wider level international sanctions against Iran. In the past, whenever the United States resorted to sanctions, Iranians have always turned to Europe, Russia and Japan for aid and trade. However, a possible counteract for this pattern is to come to an understanding with the five permanent Security Council members — the United States, Britain, Russia, France and China and major international players who have a history of transactions with Iran. This would involve diplomatic steps including substantial negotiations with the above countries and the creation of United Nations resolution for Iran. This draft resolution formed by major world powers must demand the Iranians to suspend the nuclear enrichment activities to a given deadline. The resolution should include wider international sanctions if Iranian administration does not comply with it. These sanctions should include asset freezing of companies and individuals inside Iranian administration officials and military figures. This draft should further prohibit the exporting of any arms or material related to Iranian weapons programs by other United Nations countries. Furthermore, the U.N member countries should also be obligated to prohibit any of their citizens from transporting or purchasing any such materials for Iran. Furthermore, the resolution should block UN member governments and financial institutions from offering Iran grants, financial assistance or loans except for humanitarian and developmental purposes. Considering the declining Iranian economy and public opinion against the Ahmadjian regime, such a resolution would create a negative domestic situation that will pose an immediate threat to the survival of the current Iranian regime. This situation would force the current Iranian administration to re-consider its nuclear aspirations.

In conclusion, this paper analyzed the military option and the regime change option, and recognized that both options would not be viable against Iran in the current scenario. An American military presence in Iran would not be presently practical with American involvements in Iraq and Afghanistan. Meanwhile, Iranian response to such military action could also be costly while military attacks including air strikes would not ensure the total destruction of Iranian nuclear capability. Furthermore, the regime change option would not be viable due to the ground realities and time constraints. In this circumstance, the paper recommends wider international sanctions against the Iranian nuclear program and Iranian nuclear advocates. This would create an imminent economic and political situation in which the current Iranian regime would be forced to give up its nuclear program as a bargain for its political survival.

Reference

Read also: American Policy and The Islamic Republic of Iran by Geoffrey Kemp. p51
Read also: American Policy and The Islamic Republic of Iran by Geoffrey Kemp Kemp p52
Read also: Chubin, Iran’s National Security Policy & American Policy & The Islamic Republic of Iran
See also: Living with a Nuclear Iran? By Micheal Eisenstadt
Read also: The Persian Puzzle by Kenneth M. Pollack
Read also: http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/iran/bushehr.htm
Read also: http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-strikes.htm
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-strikes-doubt.htm
Getting Ready for Nuclear-Ready Iran by Edited by. Henry Sokolski. Patrick Clawson. P6
Read also: Chubin, Iran’s National Security Policy
http://www.strategypage.com/dls/articles/200511123.asp
Read also: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,154245,00.html
Read also: The Persian Puzzle by Kenneth M. Pollack
Read also: http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/21/opinion/21wed2.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
Read also: http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-currency14mar14,1,2513696.story?coll=la-headlines-world&ctrack=1&cset=true
Read also: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/17/AR2007021701143.html





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